Panama City Beach Condo Market Analysis

After The Palazzo Auction

From www.Condosaletrends.com

 August 2008

The Palazzo condo building in Panama City Beach, Florida had a successful auction Saturday, August 2, 2008, with around 50 units selling.  The Plazzo opened in early 2008 with 129 beach front condo units.  As of August 1, 2008 61 preconstruction contracts had closed with 68 units remaining unsold.  Some have heralded the event as an indication that the bottom of the condo real estate market is finally here.  However, a closer analysis may have a much more sinister conclusion. 

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July 2008 Panama City Beach Condo Market Update

From www.Condosaletrends.com

 August 2008

We recently updated our Panama City Beach condo sales data through mid July 2008.  The graph below illustrates the number of monthly re-sales from the 70 Panama City Beach condo buildings in our database.  The 2008 monthly re-sales through June mirror the number of re-sales from the same period in 2007 even though there has been a substantial number of new units come on line.

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June 2008 Panama City Beach Condo Market Update

From Condosaletrends.com

June 2008

We recently updated our Panama City Beach condo sales data through mid June 2008.  The graph below illustrates the number of monthly re-sales from the 70 Panama City Beach condo buildings in our database.  The 2008 monthly re-sales through May mirror the number of re-sales from the same period in 2007 even though there has been a substantial number of new units come on line.

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May 2008 Panama City Beach Condo Market Update

From Condosaletrends.com

We recently updated our Panama City Beach condo sales data through the end of April 2008.  The statistics don’t look much different than earlier this year.  The graph below illustrates the number of monthly re-sales from the 70 Panama City Beach condo buildings in our database.  The 2008 monthly re-sales through May mirror the number of re-sales from the same period in 2007 even though there have been a substantial number of new units come on line.

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Have Panama City Beach Condos Hit Bottom Yet?  Probably Not.

From www.condosaletrends.com

April, 17, 2008

The PCBDaily.com blog April 12, 2008 article titled “Have We Hit Bottom Yet?” implies that because there are no negative newspaper stories concerning the current real estate market, that we must be nearing the bottom.  Jason quotes NAR chief economist, Lawrence Yum predicting “Notable Improvement” in 2008.  I have been following Yum’s analyses and predictions from the months leading up to the top of the real estate bubble (mid to late 2005) up to his latest prediction.  The thing that stands out about Yum’s analyses is that he has been 100% wrong on every prediction.  We all want to believe that the bottom of this market cycle is near.  However, quoting a source that has been wrong 100% of the time for the past three years has a negative effect on our credibility as real estate professionals.  As quoted before “If you get all of your information from a source whose career and income relies on a particular event happening, then you can be assured that that information will be skewed toward that event happening.  Real estate investing is ruthless and it is heartless.  If a real estate investor lies to himself about things concerning money, he always loses”.

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Panama City Beach Condo Market 2006

From

www.condosaletrends.com

January 2006

 The Panama City Beach Condo market has experienced a significant correction over the past 18 months after several years of exceptional price increases.  The run-up in prices was fueled almost entirely by speculative buying.  Buyers were speculating that another buyer would come along and purchase their unit or units at a higher price than their original investment.  Fifty percent, sixty percent or even 100 percent yearly appreciation was not uncommon.  However, this kind of “irrational exuberance” was not sustainable.  As of mid-2005, the speculators left the local market.  

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